Jim Douglas used his inaugural address to launch his 2010 campaign and call for a series of uncharacteristically bold measures for the state. Because he understands the need to have a coherent message that carries from his term into his campaigns, he has chosen to highlight a number of issues to raise his profile for whatever office he seeks next cycle. Looks like he has outdone himself, unfortunately, and that we have a lot of work to do.
Like the movie Vantage Point where an event was seen differently by four bystanders, Douglas’s speech will have a different reception in different camps.
People who are familiar with the true consequences of these proposals read them like this:
-Freezing contributions by the state and business to per pupil spending in public schools despite the rising costs of mandates and uncontrollable costs like health care, adding to the burden of local taxpayers
-Cutting the range of health care benefits offered to Medicaid patients
-Paving the way for increased development for cronies by relaxing permitting measures
But that’s not how many Vermonters will read them…
Experience shows that Douglas’s carefully crafted message, with favorable presentation by the media, will likely resonate with many Vermonters.
As mentioned elsewhere, the press will be of no help, and voters, even in Vermont, have been indoctrinated for ages to see the business perspective in a favorable light. Unfortunately for those of us who are not in favor of these proposals, this is how much of the public will perceive these measures:
-Freeze school spending and lower my property taxes, yeay!!! College funding will be increased too and that was surely needed, right?
-At least we won’t drop people from Medicaid
-About time we cut out some of that red tape in the permit process! I know there’s a lot of it because I keep hearing people complain!
So how will the Dems respond? How will they counter these ideas without it being sold to the voters as this:
-We don’t care about your property taxes
-We want to give Medicaid patients an overly plush package of benefits
-We will defend wasteful government bureaucracy to the death!
This has always been the challenge of beating Jim Douglas, and recent meetings and conversations have reminded me that campaign organizers don’t always understand the public perception as well needed to win elections. A successful candidate doesn’t just need a better campaign manager, or better tactics, or to declare earlier, or to raise early money that is like yeast, they need to be able to stand toe-to-toe with Douglas’s rhetoric and smack it down, hard.
-School spending: YES Indeed! We ARE concerned about local property tax burdens, that’s why we are reforming health care / increasing federal funding of mandates / shifting the funding to a more equitable tax system!
-Medicaid funding : Every Vermonter should have access to health care, not just certain segments like Medicaid, and it should be decent coverage with a focus on preventative care and wellness.
-We want to make sure that the permitting process is as efficient as possible, AND that it meets the goals of protecting our environment and lifestyle that the majority of Vermonters share. Fortunately, it is and it does! Here are the facts, and isn’t it interesting that some are telling you otherwise?
Douglas has elevated his game in this inaugural address, in my opinion. He has struck a resonant chord of topical issues, and leveraged the general economic fear and concern masterfully. He’s taken the initiative and tried to put Dems in a reactive mode.
I thought Dick McCormack had the right idea, he was quoted in one of the articles as saying, “It has always been up to the Legislature whether or not the Legislature dominates or Douglas dominates. The legislative leadership has chosen in the past to work with the governor and, unfortunately, working with the governor has kind of boiled down to giving the governor his way.”
The Legislature, which is now effectively the Democrats, will need to regain the initiative on these issues and find a way to dominate, or at least drive, the political agenda. I hope there will be a speaker, candidate or some leader who is up to the task.