Crime Is On The Decline, But Why Are People STILL Surprised?

Once again there is another article pointing out that crime is on the decline in the United States.

Once again socilogists and criminologists are seeking to explain why there is a decline in crime. The Economist study concluded:

…during the current downturn, the unemployment rate rose as the crime rate fell. Between 2008 and 2009 violent crime fell by 5.3% and property crime by 4.6%; between 2009 and 2010, according to the preliminary Uniform Crime Report released by the FBI on May 23rd, violent crime fell by another 5.5% and property crime by 2.8%. Robberies-precisely the crime one might expect to rise during tough economic times-fell by 9.5% between 2009 to 2010.

We here at strictlynumbers.com hypothesized there is a simple explanation for this correlation. Unemployment rates have a direct affect on the crime rate in a given city. The correlation relates to the fact that as unemployment rates rise less people chose to spending time out in a given city going to bars, clubs, restaurants, and other night time venues due to a lack of revenue. If there are less people out and about in a given city then logic suggests there are less people to be victims of crime. In other words, crime isn’t declining it is just becoming harder to commit.

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