ANOTHER FINAL UPDATE
From the Times Argus: http://www.timesargus.com/arti…
12:08 p.m. – With 260 of Vermont’s 260 precincts reporting, including 73,059 votes, Peter Shumlin won the Democratic gubernatorial primary on the strength of late-reported southern Vermont votes. His margin of victory is 178 votes, with all towns and cities reporting. Deb Markowitz finished 390 votes behind Shumlin. To request a recount, the margin for victory must be within 2 percent, which is true in this race.
Peter Shumlin – 18,244 votes (25.0%)
Doug Racine – 18,066 votes (24.7%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,854 votes (24.4%)
Matt Dunne – 15,100 votes (20.7%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,795 votes (5.2%)
(Associated Press, Rutland Herald and Times Argus figures)
POSSIBLY THE FINAL UPDATE:
10:51 a.m. – With 257 of Vermont’s 260 precincts reporting, including 72,870 votes, Peter Shumlin has pulled back into the lead on the strength of late-reported southern Vermont votes. He now leads by 187 votes, with three towns yet to be included in the count. Deb Markowitz has also moved closer, to within 410 votes of Shumlin. To request a recount, the margin for victory must be within 2 percent, which is true in this race.
Peter Shumlin – 18,201 votes (25.0%)
Doug Racine – 18,014 votes (24.7%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,791 votes (24.4%)
Matt Dunne – 15,081 votes (20.7%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,783 votes (5.2%)
The Times Argus is also reporting that the three outstanding towns are Cabot, Guildhall, and Lemington. We have a previous report that Guildhall nets out to + 9 for Shumlin.
GMD expects Peter Shumlin will end the Election Day tally with the most votes..
And one would do well to remember that a recount is a strong possibility.
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UPDATE: As the diary below suggested, the St. Albans Messenger is now reporting results from the Franklin County towns that bring Shumlin’s lead down to a mere 11 votes.
UPDATE 2: …and again from the comments, Mark Johnson has reported that Franklin County has now put Racine up by 55.
UPDATE 3: Via the Times Argus:
Doug Racine – 17,411 votes (25%)
Peter Shumlin – 17,336 votes (25%)
Deb Markowitz – 16,929 votes (24%)
Matt Dunne – 14,448 votes (21%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,616 votes (5%)
The Argus/Herald reports that the towns still out are Cabot, Canaan, Dover, East Haven, Enosburg, Granville, Guildhall, Hancock, Lemington, New Haven, Newfane, Plymouth, Reading, Shaftsbury, Tunbridge, Wells, Westfield, Weston, Whiting, Williamstown.
UPDATE4: From the comments:
NPR:
Doug Racine 17,803 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,724 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,174 24%
Matt Dunne 14,899 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,714 5%
96% / 249 of 260 precincts reporting
Update 5: per VPR:
Doug Racine 18,066 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,998 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,243 24%
Matt Dunne 15,271 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,966 5%
98% / 256 of 260 precincts reporting
How’d you sleep?
not at all.
it is important to remind people, as Chris Graff did on WCAX this morning, that the numbers provided by the AP are unofficial and the actual vote count will not be known for about a week from now when they are finally certified.
…which counties aren’t in yet?
… (via Times Argus), here:
Does anyone have any information on the Senate race in Addison County? It was a great race. One of the two Democratic incumbents, Senator Harold Giard did not submit his nomination petitions on time, so he had to wage a write-in campaign against an equally strong write-in candidate in Amy Sheldon of Middlebury. Numbers anywhere?
I just talked to the Cabot town clerk. She said they don’t have totals yet and they don’t know when they will.
as regards primary voter turnout, using the current AP numbers (as of 2:05 AM, Wednesday, August 25th and at least until they get updated of course) and counting up all the votes tabulated with 232 of 260 precincts reporting, the tally thus far in the VT Dem Guv primary is 67,510 and for the VT GOP Lt. Guv primary is 25,898 for a total of 93,408 (with 28 precincts not officially accounted for as of yet).
That St. Albans City and Town are in (along with another town I didn’t catch) and the gap is now eleven votes.
I predict @ least 6 of the towns not reported yet will go for Shumlin.
Who is planning on going down to the unity rally today in Burlington? I think I’m going to head down just because it feels like it would be pretty entertaining.
9:15 a.m. – With 236 of Vermont’s 260 precincts reporting, Doug Racine has pulled ahead by about 60 votes, with St. Albans city and town reporting in.
Doug Racine – 17,411 votes (25%)
Peter Shumlin – 17,336 votes (25%)
Deb Markowitz – 16,929 votes (24%)
Matt Dunne – 14,448 votes (21%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,616 votes (5%)
http://www.timesargus.com/arti…
Doug Racine 17,634 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,522 25%
Deb Markowitz 16,882 24%
Matt Dunne 14,584 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,672 5%
90% / 241 of 260 precincts reporting
Doug Racine 17,763 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,662 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,094 24%
Matt Dunne 14,791 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,696 5%
90% / 245 of 260 precincts reporting
So it looks like most of the remaining towns are in the NEK, the counties of which seem to have gone for Marko… Is there still hope?!
VPR:
Doug Racine 17,781 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,673 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,113 24%
Matt Dunne 14,802 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,700 5%
95% / 246 of 260 precincts reporting
– NPR:Doug Racine 17,781 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,673 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,113 24%
Matt Dunne 14,802 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,700 5%
95% / 246 of 260 precincts reporting
9:55 a.m. – With 246 of Vermont’s 260 precincts reporting, Doug Racine has pulled ahead by about 88 votes, with St. Albans city and town reporting in.
Doug Racine – 17,789 votes (25%)
Peter Shumlin – 17,701 votes (25%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,358 votes (24%)
Matt Dunne – 14,752 votes (21%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,720 votes (5%)
(Associated Press, Rutland Herald and Times Argus figures)
Towns yet to report for these figures:
Cabot, East Haven, Guildhall, Hancock, Lemington, Newfane, Plymouth, Reading, Shaftsbury, Tunbridge, Wells, Westfield, Weston and Whiting
NPR:
Doug Racine 17,803 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,724 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,174 24%
Matt Dunne 14,899 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,714 5%
96% / 249 of 260 precincts reporting
Nothing from Herald, AP or Argus @1021 am
NPR:
Peter Shumlin 17,897 25%
Doug Racine 17,870 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,361 24%
Matt Dunne 14,989 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,741 5%
97% / 251 of 260 precincts reporting
nothing from Herald, AP, Argus
NPR:
Doug Racine 17,942 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,905 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,105 24%
Matt Dunne 15,183 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,933 5%
97% / 251 of 260 precincts reporting
Peter Shumlin – 18,175 votes (25.0%)
Doug Racine – 17,977 votes (24.7%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,736 votes (24.4%)
Matt Dunne – 15,048 votes (20.7%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,767 votes (5.2%)
(Associated Press, Rutland Herald and Times Argus figures)
Towns yet to report for these figures:
Cabot, East Haven, Guildhall, Hancock, Lemington, Weston
Doug Racine 18,066 25%
Peter Shumlin 17,998 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,243 24%
Matt Dunne 15,271 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,966 5%
98% / 256 of 260 precincts reporting
Peter Shumlin – 18,201 votes (25.0%)
Doug Racine – 18,014 votes (24.7%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,791 votes (24.4%)
Matt Dunne – 15,081 votes (20.7%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,783 votes (5.2%)
(Associated Press, Rutland Herald and Times Argus figures)
Towns yet to report for these figures:
Cabot, Guildhall, Lemington
VPR:
Peter Shumlin – 18,201 votes (25.0%)
Doug Racine – 18,014 votes (24.7%)
Deb Markowitz – 17,791 votes (24.4%)
Matt Dunne – 15,081 votes (20.7%)
Susan Bartlett – 3,783 votes (5.2%)
(Associated Press, Rutland Herald and Times Argus figures)
Towns yet to report for these figures:
Cabot, Guildhall, LemingtonR
The last source VPR was errantly posted as Herald, Argus, AP.
VPR:
Peter Shumlin 18,196 25%
Doug Racine 18,005 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,516 24%
Matt Dunne 15,081 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,779 5%
98% / 257 of 260 precincts reporting
the election will be contested no matter what. who knows!?!?!
; P
VPR
Peter Shumlin 18,228 25%
Doug Racine 18,053 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,569 24%
Matt Dunne 15,099 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,788 5%
99% / 259 of 260 precincts reporting
seems unlikely Racine will erase Shumlin’s lead.
Just a reminder: these are unofficial numbers, not net verified by the Secretary of State’s office. I’m not personally comfortable predicting anything as of yet.
Any word on live streaming or tweeting of the rally?
but Cabot won’t make a bit of difference. Go figure,tiny town where people like J. Pransky live on roads named for themselves….conservative area big time.
Since 11PM last night I have been thinking Racine would win by 82 votes. But
IFthe numbers for Guildhall hold, and if we are waiting only on Cabot and Lemington, I see Shumlin winning by 79 votes.One tiny backwater away from results. Then on to hurry up & wait for recount.
VPR
Peter Shumlin 18,239 25%
Doug Racine 18,057 25%
Deb Markowitz 17,579 24%
Matt Dunne 15,100 21%
Susan Bartlett 3,791 5%
100% / 260 of 260 precincts reporting
via vtdigger, here.
between VPR & AP, Argus, Herald numbers.
I went to bed not knowing who won, but assuming it wasn’t Markowitz, so I slept well.
I also went to bed thinking that Donny Osman got bumped in the Wash. Cty. Senate primary, and lo and behold, he pulled it off. I have my work cut out for me, that’s for sure.