Look, anything’s possible. And I’d like to see it happen. I think Dean is a more than competent manager, has learned a tremendous amount in the last decade (making him one of those rare national-level Dems with a hands-on understanding of national and corporate dynamics, as well as rural needs), and has a real commitment to health care as an issue. Is he a single-payer proponent, no. But we’re not getting one of those. And Dean isn’t in the single-payer camp, not necessarily because he is ideologically opposed to it per se, but rather that he sees it as unattainable. In fact, I daresay there’s no one better suited on the horizon – and I say that as one who could respect (if not necessarily agree with) Obama’s decision to choose Daschle over the good Doctor.
But the reason Dean was passed over for anything and everything in an Obama administration has not changed. His arch-nemesis, Rahm Emanuel, is still Obama’s “Number 1,” and I see no reason to believe that his mood has softened. And if one would absolve Obama of responsibility for enabling such petulant grudge-mongering, recall how it was made clear that Dean would not even be welcome at the press conference where the new President introduced Dean’s successor at the DNC, Governor Kaine of Virginia. Although former-Deaniacs-turned-Obamiacs across the internet have tried to ignore or rationalize that slight away, the fact is, it was cold, cold, cold, and is part of the reason so many Washington insiders have termed Obama’s snubbing of Dean as completely without precedent.
So, although strange things happen, I’m afraid in this case its pretty unlikely. Far more likely that Obama might – oh, I dunno… maybe cut a deal with Senate Republicans to pull an arch-economic-conservative he barely knows into an empty post at, say, the Commerce Department, without upsetting the balance of power in the Senate… rather than do the right thing by the guy who deserves much of the credit for getting him into office in the first place.
If Obama suddenly decides to throw his activist base a bone (or frankly, to go for the best choice over political calculus and personal bullshit), it might go the other way, but that’s the only caveat I’ll drop.
Quick update: I’ll also add that I think those that speculate that Obama may well break out the position that Daschle was to fill into HHS Chief and a distinct Health Care Czar are probably correct. My hunch is to look for Kansas Governor Sebelius to get the former, and a congressional alum to get the latter – perhaps someone we haven’t thought of at all, like a Dick Gephardt or somesuch.