Daily Archives: January 2, 2009

What were the underreported/underrappreciated stories of 2008?

It’s a subjective question to be sure, but I’m always interested in looking back and considering what news events of the last year were either barely covered or incompletely covered, given what their real impact is likely to be. It’s easier to ask that question nationally or globally, but when you get down to the state level, it gets a little more challenging and a little more fun.

I’ve included nine I think fit the bill. What do you think? Any to add (or any of these to quiblle with)?

$250 million. Sure, we’re hearing constantly about the economic downturn and the growing budget crisis in the Statehouse, but $250m is a number we’re not hearing very much. Its what some believe the total budget shortfall against previous projections will work out to be when the dust settles. The quick and easy projection here is that the Legislature will pass a reasonably responsible budget that combines cuts, revenues and debt, but it won’t be simple. A lot of go-to revenue sources – most notably the capital gains tax loophole – are not going to perform nearly up to previous projections of their potential, given that capital is not moving very readily. Whatever does happen, expect the Governor to fight anything good, and then take sole credit for whatever gets through.

Checks and Balances dealt a fatal blow? Jim Douglas clearly used state resources for his re-election campaign, and nothing came of it. Nothing. Barely a peep beyond Shay Totten’s coverage, nothing was done, nobody cared. There is no meaningful oversight of the Executive Branch in this state, and unless something dramatic changes (say, for example, Senator Sears’s suggestion is heeded and Legislative committees start issuing subpoenas and taking sworn testimony), there won’t be.

State emails provided for Open Records requests. Unions and reporters asked for – and received – internal emails under the state Open Records Law that revealed untoward things about the Douglas Administration. A conservative blogger made a similar request of the Legislature, but was stymied for pretty crappy reasons that won’t hold up in the long term. It’s a brave new world, and the implications of the open season on state e-communication have only just begun.

Swapping out the Speaker. “Presumed” Speaker Shap Smith and incoming Majority Leader represent what could be a hugely significant changing of the guard in Montpelier, but the response from the traditional media has thusfar largely been a collective yawn. The implications to the political dynamics are considerable, yet reporters have covered little more than the horse race angle of the caucus vote. Trust me, this will be a different Legislature.

The destruction of Vermont’s campaign finance laws. With that single vote that left the Legislature shy of a veto override, Vermont’s campaign finance laws were largely trashed, and the AG’s office is pretending otherwise. The pretense was given a new lease on life when Judge Sessions ruled in favor of Anthony Pollina’s challenge to that “law” on its own terms, rather than issuing a decision as to whether or not the law itself was still standing. But nothing has changed – we’re still in a campaign finance wasteland. Eventually, someone will call the bluff if it isn’t fixed.

Libel suit against iBrattleboro based on user comments was thrown out. Maybe not earth-shattering, as it wasn’t exactly news (anyone who paid more than perfunctory attention to the law saw it coming), but still worth mentioning. While not a surprise, the coverage of the case reached heights of absurdity and self-parody, with outlets like the Rutland Herald and WCAX revealing their own antipathy towards new media by eagerly suggesting that this non-case would find its way to the US Supreme Court. Sorry guys, even if that fantasy were true, it wouldn’t help solve traditional media’s problems.

Prog peak? For the first time since they started winning House seats, the Progressive Party actually lost ground in the statehouse, meaning the Progs are entering a new phase in their institutional existence, especially given that their success in the State Senate was attained through a Democratic Party primary. What next?

Symington crushed. The floor for Democratic candidates in Vermont has been about 35% for some time, and until the last month of the election season, the polls showed Gubernatorial candidate Gaye Symington bouncing around that floor. Then, in the blink of an eye, her disapproval ratings tripled and that floor was blown apart. Was the brand further damaged as well, or was this simply Vermonters voting for or against the candidate?

Yankee coverage. Windham County residents have long fumed that Vermont Yankee’s continued, duct taped existence has been an issue that folks outside the county simply will not take seriously. It’s news that mishaps and sneaky financial tricks at Vermont Yankee are now getting much wider coverage, as 2008 was the year it truly became a statewide issue.

There are certainly others that I would have liked to mention, but which frankly dance too close to personal interest-conflicts. Others?

Which is uglier?

I was away last week when this news broke, but I still think it's something that we need to keep our attention on.

I'm talking about the perennial question of where we're going to get our energy, and specifically electricity.

We have a somewhat robust renewable energy community here in Vermont, comprising a lot of effort in efficiencysmall hydro, and wind.

Wind, of course, has been the most controversial, largely because people driving around the countryside don't have to look at compact fluorescent light bulbs, or small dams, but they are very concerned that they will have to look at giant wind turbines.

So even if you accept the claim that wind turbines are ugly (I don't, but let's go with it for the sake of discussion), tell me which you think is uglier.

This:

 

 

More after the jump.

Or this:

Burlington Free Press: Does the full Hoover for Douglas

( – promoted by odum)

“We can count on state government to do less and less to help even those in dire need. “

This is a truly radical and disturbing statement. The Free Press sees the state government as something wholly detached from an obligation to care for the citizens,especially, by their logic in a recession “And the only talk coming out of Montpelier seems to be about the enormous budget deficit that threatens to swallow Vermont..” In their editorial titled, with no irony, Core principle: we’re all in this together, the “we” they speak of does not include our state government. No one can dispute the need for community, family and associated networks, but the retreat of the state government in the face of what the paper is calling dire need is an insult. They declare that one of the defining characteristics of Vermont is its sense of community, isn’t state government an integral part of that community?

This is the monologue of drivel the Democratic legislature is failing to get out in front of.

The last year ended with the hard realities of the recession crashing down upon us, and 2009 is sure to bring even more challenges. The economic decline continues, with no one predicting a rebound anytime soon. News about layoffs keeps coming. And the only talk coming out of Montpelier seems to be about the enormous budget deficit that threatens to swallow Vermont.

We can count on state government to do less and less to help even those in dire need. Food shelves and emergency shelters report increased demand they are having trouble meeting. Social service agencies warn that less money will mean people losing the support they need in their daily lives

http://www.burlingtonfreepress…

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

(I echo Doug’s comment: nicely done.  It’s good to start the news cycle of 2009 with something of substance. – promoted by JulieWaters)

“…a lie which is half a truth is ever the blackest of lies”

Alfred, Lord Tennyson

In a recent editorial (December 29) the Rutland Herald asserts that “Given that we have far more state employees per capita than other New England states, it’s hard to imagine there’s no fat to be trimmed from the state budget.”

It’s hardly surprising – given the paucity of honest analysis regarding the current economic crisis – that no evidence is provided by the Rutland Herald to support this claim.  

No matter:  true or not, I’m sure that this assertion will be trotted out more than once over the next few weeks to justify the proposed cuts in state government.

Well, is it true that Vermont has far more state employees per capita than other New England states?

It’s only a half truth and therefore, the blackest of lies:  Don’t believe it!

It is true that Vermont has a relatively high number of state employees per capita.  I emphasize “state”, because based on my analysis of the US Census bureau data released in November (http://www.census.gov/govs/www/apes.html), when education is excluded, Vermont is 35th among states in the number of government employees per capita (combined state and local).  That places Vermont fourth among New England states, after Rhode Island, Maine, and Massachusetts.  The drop in standing from 6th place to 35th place among U.S. states is simple:  Vermont is 50th – dead last –  among states in local government employees per capita (excluding education related employees).  (Note:  Vermont’s spending on education is a valid issue for discussion, but one that is entirely separate from the current debate about cutting state workers).

Comparing state government employees per capita among the 50 states is thorny because the different states vary greatly in their apportionment of services among state and local (county and municipal) jurisdictions. Unlike many other states, Vermont lacks a significant county-level government structure and, as already noted, has few municipal employees per capita.  The burden falls at the state level:  many Vermont towns rely on significant state government services (e.g. state police rather than municipal police force).

So, the Rutland Herald’s assertion is misleading and irresponsible.

To quote Doug Hoffer:  “Wouldn’t it be nice if important public policy debates were based on facts?”