How about a game? Be the GMD user who guesses the Democratic gubernatorial primary percentage spread closest to the final result, and you’ll win your choice of a GMD beer stein or coffee mug from cafepress! To enter, simply put your comment in this thread containing your projected spread (e.g. “Candidate A = 24%, Candidate B = 23%, Candidate C = 18%… etc”).
You should also include your answer to the tiebreaker question (should it be necessary to break a tie): what will the primary turnout be?
Have your comment in the thread timestamped before the close of the polls today to be eligible – and everybody and anybody can enter (even GMD front pagers!)
Have fun and don’t forget to vote!
you do also mean who comes 1st, 2nd, etc. — not just the percents — right? I assume so, but it wasn’t quite clear from the example.
I do like this contest, btw. I imagine we’ll be all over the place, but it would be funny if there actually was a tie!
I haven’t got a clue, so I’ll just make something up:
Shumlin: 24%
Markowitz: 23%
Dunne: 23%
Racine: 21%
Bartlett: 9%
For turnout? If you mean Democratic turnout only, I’m going to guess 163,000. If you mean combined, I’m going to guess 207,000.
Okay, let’s see how tragically wrong I am.
Dunne – 30%
Markowitz – 28%
Racine – 18%
Shumlin – 18%
Bartlet – 6%
Markowitz: 24.5%
Shumlin: 23.5%
Racine: 22.5%
Dunne: 22.5%
Bartlett: 7%
41,346 votes in the Democratic primary
Total voter turnout 60,804.
Shumlin 27%
Markowitz 25%
Dunne 22%
Racine 18%
Bartlette 8%
Turnout … 45,000
Dunne 25%
Shumlin 24%
Markowitz 23%
Racine 21%
Bartlett 7%
Dem Primary Turnout 32,649
Shumlin – 25%
Racine – 24%
Markowitz – 24%
Dunne – 22%
Bartlett – 4%
And a turnout of 52,000 Dem voters.
Markowitz 26%
Racine 24%
Shumlin 23%
Dunne 15%
Bartlett 6%
Dunne: 26%
Shumlin: 22%
Markowitz: 21%
Racine: 21%
Bartlett: 10%
40,032 Democratic primary votes. 63,194 total.
Racine 24
Schumlin 22
Markowitz 22
Dunne 21
Bartlett 9
Other 2
49,000 voters
Racine 25%
Dunne 24%
Shumlin 24%
Markowitz 23%
Bartlett 4%
?
Spider-Man 27%
Iron Man 24.5%
Captain Marvel 22.5
Wonder Woman 20%
Black Canary 6%
Dem.Turnout 48,000
I appear to be winning.
Racine: 25%
Markowitz: 24%
Dunn: 20%
Shumlin: 19%
Bartlett: 12%
Turnout: 40,000
Racine: 24
Dunne: 23
Shumlin: 23
Markowitz: 21
Bartlett: 8
39,873 Dem Primary Voters
Dunne 26
Racine 24
Shumlin 24
Markowitz 22
Bartlett 4
Turnout of 43,000
Shumlin 26.9%
Racine 25%
Dunne 24.1%
Markowitz 19%
Bartlett 5%
Total Democratic primary voters = 52,502
I’m gonna go out on a limb and completely defy conventional wisdom, here:
Racine 27
Markowitz 25
Dunne 22
Shumlin 19
Bartlett 7
Turnout: 46,000 (WAY down from what I thought months back… too many undecideds who will stay home)
Make no assumptions about who I did or didn’t vote for based on that… I’m a mysterious feller.
Markowitz 30%
Shumlin 24%
Dunne 20%
Racine 19%
Bartlett 7%
44,996 Votes in Dem Primary
But good luck to all.
Best,
Ed
Markowitz – 29%
Dunne – 23%
Shumlin – 23%
Racine – 19%
Bartlett – 6%
Turnout of 47,500 Dem voters
Dunne: 27%
Markowitz: 24%
Racine: 23%
Shumlin: 21%
Bartlett: 5%
Dem turnout: 61,500
Total turnout: 79,200
Dunne: 25%
Shumlin: 24%
Markowitz: 23%
Racine: 23%
Bartlett: 5%
Dem turnout: 59,500
Total turnout: 82,000
Dunne – 28%
Shumlin – 27%
Markowitz – 23%
Racine – 18%
Bartlett – 4%
Turn-out = 48,479